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REAL ESTATE MARKET UPDATE
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR METRO DC REAL ESTATE 2009 AND BEYOND
Thursday, September 10, 2009 * 4:30pm – 8:30 pm *
Clyde’s of Tysons Corner

Five speakers treated Appraisal Institute members and guests to a hopeful update on the economic outlook for real estate in the Metro DC area. The presenters delivered an overall economic review as well as individual reports for the multi-family/condo, retail, hotel, and office segments of the real estate market covering current inventory, projected supply and demand and investment dynamics for each market segment.

Here are just a couple observations:

  • Capsulated, the message I got was #1 confirmation that the DC Metro market is quantifiably better off than the rest of the country and therefore likely to recover more quickly. But #2 there have been very few large transactions of commercial property in the DC Metro area so far 2009. Loan to value requirements in underwriting have gone from 80% loans available to 50% requirements.
  • I've always known that in a bad market class A office buildngs suck the life out of class B buildings since tenants can move up for little or no increase in rent as the class A managers lower rents or make concessions. A similar situation seems to pertain with class A and class B apartment buildings. However, with hotel properties the opposite seems to happen. Travelers seek out the lower room rates of budget or off-brand hotels in a bad economy. I guess this happens because so much of the operating expense of hotels is not occupancy sensitive and managers of premier properties can't lower room rates enough to be competitive with properties that have lower expenses because they have fewer amenities.

See below to view the speakers' handouts.

Speakers:
Kevin Thorpe - Vice President and Director of Research, Cassidy & Pinkard – General Economic Outlook - Handout
Grant Montgomery Vice President, Delta Associates – Multi-Family/Condo Market - Handout unavailable
R. William Kent - Executive Vice President, CB Richard Ellis – Retail Market - Handout
Eric Berkman - Senior Vice President, Institutional Investment Group, Grubb & Ellis Company - Office Market - Handout
Mark Morris, CEO, Fraser Forbes – Land Development Market - Handout

Click here to see the re-cap from last year's Real Estate Market Update.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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